AUD/USD in a correction channel approaching a level of distribution.

There is every chance that the gold price will rise and meet the AUD/USD median, but there are many signs here suggesting the AUD sell down to meet with the gold fall.

AUD/USD Fills XAU Spread

Key Points:

  • 1 Hour – Price sitting at the 200 EMA
  • 1 Hour – Looking for candle reversal signals
  • 15 minute – RSI possible divergence
  • No surprise the AUD has followed the gold price, and now providing an opportunity to close the spread.
  • 15 Minute – Following channel into distribution – Look for channel break or strong candle stick bearish reversal.

 

Key Levels:

Support – 50 EMA, 200 EMA, 0.72620, 0.72480

Resistance – 0.72785. 0.72875

 

Entry Zone:

Optimal entry provides the greatest reward to risk ratio while supporting entry is a zone for reversal signals.

Optimal Entry – 0.72825

Supporting Entry – 0.72785

 

Candle Reversals for entry

  • Bearish Engulfing
  • Bearish Dark Cloud Cover
  • Bearish Shooting Star

The Risk:

As traders, it is your job to mitigate the risk and only trade structures that provide high probability and great reward to risk ratios.

If you are not comfortable with defined exit levels, experiment with Moving Averages to help set solid exit rules to protect your capital.

 

IF: Price breaks below 0.72900– this would suggest the structure is not in our favour and would be wise to reduce exposure or close the trade until a solid signal gives us reasons to re-enter.

 

Reward / Reward Targets:

Optimal Entry 0.72825 – Target 1 0.72480= 4.5x Reward to Risk

 

Supporting Entry 0.72785– Target 1 0.72480= 2.5x Reward to Risk