Screenshots circulating on crypto Twitter showed a Polymarket account — less than 30 days old — sitting on over $500,000 in net profit. The trades were concentrated on binary crypto markets: Will Bitcoin close above $95,000 this week? Will ETH outperform BTC in February? Simple yes/no bets, each priced in USDC and settled on-chain.
What made it stand out wasn't just the size. It was the timing. The account appeared to enter positions shortly before sharp moves, suggesting either exceptional market reading or access to information the rest of the market didn't have. The account's win rate across its short history was north of 70%, which at that position size implies either skill or luck at a level most traders never see.
Polymarket's on-chain structure means every trade is publicly visible — a double-edged sword. It creates transparency that traditional brokers can't offer, but it also means anyone can watch in real time when a large player is moving. Whether this account keeps winning or mean-reverts is the story worth watching. If prediction markets keep producing results like this, their appeal as a serious trading venue is only going to grow.
matched with AvaTrade
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