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Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP)

NFP is the US monthly jobs report, released on the first Friday and the single most market-moving data point for forex.

Quick answer

NFP is the US monthly jobs report, released on the first Friday, counting jobs added or lost outside farming. It is the most market-moving data point in forex because it shapes expectations for Federal Reserve rate policy.

Definition

Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) is the US monthly employment report published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, normally on the first Friday of the month. It counts the number of jobs added or lost in the US economy excluding farm workers, private household employees and a few other categories. Because it is the first hard read on the health of the world's largest economy, it routinely produces the biggest single-spike moves in USD pairs, and it sets the tone for the next month of trading.

How It Works

  • Counts new jobs created in the previous month, excluding farm workers and a few small categories
  • Released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, normally the first Friday at 8:30am ET
  • Traders also watch the unemployment rate and average hourly earnings in the same release

Trading Tips

1

Spreads widen and slippage spikes in the minute after release - size down or wait for the dust to settle

2

The market trades the surprise versus the forecast, not the raw number

3

Revisions matter: the previous two months are usually revised in the same release

Sources

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